isobath

Forecasts

Glossary of surfing and marine weather

Bathymetry
Measurement of seabed depth. The seabed decides how the swell grows and breaks.
Beach break
A wave breaking over sand. Sandbanks move with storms: the spot changes from season to season.
Breaking height
Estimated size of the wave when it breaks near shore, different from the offshore swell. Isobath estimates it from the swell, its period and the beach orientation.
Confidence
How sure the forecast is: it drops with lead time and when models disagree. Never a guarantee.
Cross-shore wind
Wind parallel to the beach. Depending on strength, it can stay surfable or spoil the waves.
Crossed swells
Two swells arriving at the same time from different directions: waves get messier, with peaks that keep shifting. Isobath flags it when a second swell reaches at least 40% of the first with at least 40° between them.
Ensemble forecast
The same model run dozens of times with small differences at the start. The spread between scenarios shows how uncertain the future is.
Forecast model
A computer simulation of the atmosphere and ocean (Météo-France, ECMWF, NOAA…). Isobath crosses several to measure how much they agree.
Gusts
Peaks of wind above the average wind. Important for wind sports and for safety.
Iribarren (breaker type)
A number comparing the seabed slope with the wave steepness. Low: the wave spills gently into foam (gently sloping beach, ideal for beginners). Medium: it plunges and gets hollow. High: it surges and crashes on the shore (shorebreak).
Offshore wind
Wind blowing from land to sea. It holds up and smooths the waves: often the best conditions.
Onshore wind
Wind blowing from the sea onto the beach. It flattens the waves and makes the water messy.
Peak period
Period of the most energetic waves. Always a little longer than the mean period; Isobath converts everything to mean period to compare models.
Period
Time in seconds between two waves. The longer it is, the more energy the swell carries: at equal height, 14 s pushes much harder than 8 s.
Persistence
A naive forecast: “it will stay as it is now”. Used as a reference: a useful model must do better.
Point break
A wave peeling along a headland or cape, often long and in one direction.
Range
A “from … to …” interval rather than a single number: it honestly shows the forecast uncertainty.
Reef
A wave breaking over rock or coral. More consistent, but more dangerous if you fall.
Rip currents
Channels in the sand where water flows back out to sea. Do not swim against them: drift, then return to shore from the side.
Seabed relief (EMODnet)
The shape of the seabed in front of a spot, from the European EMODnet Bathymetry surveys. Isobath uses it to draw the seabed profile and estimate where the wave breaks. Resolution of about a hundred metres: shifting sandbanks do not show.
Set
A group of bigger waves arriving after a lull. Between sets, the water can look calm.
Shorebreak
A wave breaking violently very close to shore, in shallow water. Dangerous for neck and back.
Submarine canyon
A deep valley under the sea, like the Gouf de Capbreton. It focuses the swell on certain beaches, which get bigger waves.
Swell
Waves born far away under a storm that have travelled to the coast. They arrive lined up and regular: that is what we surf.
Swell direction
Where the swell comes from (degrees or compass points). A swell hitting the beach head-on gives more size than a grazing one.
Tidal range
Difference in water height between high and low tide.
Tide
Rise and fall of the sea level, about twice a day. Each spot works best at a certain stage of the tide.
Tide coefficient
A number from 20 to 120 giving the size of the tide (defined at Brest). Above 95, big spring tides: stronger currents, beaches covered at high tide.
Wind sea
Short waves raised by the local wind. They make the water choppy and messy.

Version française